base year 2002
scenario year 2012
# US Census Bureau pop projection categories
dimension Population 'Low', 'Medium', 'High'
summvar Emissions{Population}, Pop{Population}
ratio EmissionIntensity, GDPperCap
# Emissions given by an index relative to the base year
Emissions.by = 100
# US Census Bureau population projections
# http://www.census.gov (Accessed 7 Dec 2002)
Pop{Population = 'Low'} = 278.8, 294.1
Pop{Population = 'Medium'} = 280.3, 304.8
Pop{Population = 'High'} = 282.1, 318.9
# Bush Administration emission reduction target is
# 18% decrease in intensity over next 10 years
# (from Feb 2002)
EmissionIntensity = incr[-18%]
# This is key input: GDP per cap growth rate
GDPperCap = growth(<2.0%>)
chain Pop >> GDPperCap * EmissionIntensity -> Emissions
report Emissions as "Emissions (2002 = 100)"